Villanova
W-L: ( 0-19) PR = 87.9505Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 205 H Alabama SEC (58- 8, 99.1) 0-17 205 A Georgia Tech ACC (35-26, 94.8) 0- 8 206 A Georgia Tech ACC (35-26, 94.8) 0- 8 206 H East Carolina AC (31-27, 91.3) 0- 1 207 A Alabama SEC (58- 8, 99.1) 3- 9 207 A East Carolina AC (31-27, 91.3) 4-11 213 A Charlotte AC (29-27, 92.3) 0-11 213 H Virginia Tech ACC (48-12, 97.0) 3- 7 214 A Virginia Tech ACC (48-12, 97.0) 3-11 214 A Michigan State B10 (18-33, 90.6) 8- 9 220 A Kansas B12 (34-24, 95.2) 1- 8 221 A Kansas B12 (34-24, 95.2) 1- 4 221 A Florida Atlantic AC (33-21, 94.7) 1- 9 227 H Florida A&M SWAC ( 3- 8, 87.6) 0- 7 228 A Virginia ACC (40-18, 94.5) 2-10 301 A Michigan B10 (35-22, 94.8) 2- 9 301 A Michigan B10 (35-22, 94.8) 2- 9 325 A Delaware CUSA (33-20, 91.4) 2- 5 408 H Delaware CUSA (33-20, 91.4) 2- 5
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
205 H Alabama 0-17 -17 -10 - -3.56
205 A Georgia Tech 0- 8 -8 -8 -0.37
206 A Georgia Tech 0- 8 -8 -8 -0.37
207 A Alabama 3- 9 -6 -12 ++ 5.93
207 A East Carolina 4-11 -7 -4 - -2.93
213 A Charlotte 0-11 -11 -5 -- -5.91
213 H Virginia Tech 3- 7 -4 -8 ++ 4.33
214 A Virginia Tech 3-11 -8 -10 1.82
214 A Michigan State 8- 9 -1 -3 + 2.38
220 A Kansas 1- 8 -7 -8 0.98
221 A Kansas 1- 4 -3 -8 ++ 4.98
221 A Florida Atlantic 1- 9 -8 -7 -0.55
227 H Florida A&M 0- 7 -7 1 --- -8.11
228 A Virginia 2-10 -8 -7 -0.72
301 A Michigan 2- 9 -7 -8 0.55
301 A Michigan 2- 9 -7 -8 0.55
325 A Delaware 2- 5 -3 -4 1.24
408 H Delaware 2- 5 -3 -3 -0.24
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 227 H Florida A&M 0- 7 -7 1 --- -8.11 213 A Charlotte 0-11 -11 -5 -- -5.91 205 H Alabama 0-17 -17 -10 - -3.56 207 A East Carolina 4-11 -7 -4 - -2.93 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 207 A Alabama 3- 9 -6 -12 ++ 5.93 213 H Virginia Tech 3- 7 -4 -8 ++ 4.33 221 A Kansas 1- 4 -3 -8 ++ 4.98 214 A Michigan State 8- 9 -1 -3 + 2.38 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Alabama (58- 8, 99.1) 0-17 -0.76 18.61 -0.74 1.33 -1.00
3 A Georgia Tech (35-26, 94.8) 0- 8 -5.06 14.31 0.74 1.33 -2.87
3 A Georgia Tech (35-26, 94.8) 0- 8 -5.06 14.31 0.74 1.33 -2.87
3 H East Carolina (31-27, 91.3) 0- 1 -8.62 10.75 -0.74 1.33 -6.21
3 A Alabama (58- 8, 99.1) 3- 9 -0.76 18.61 0.74 1.33 -0.01
3 A East Carolina (31-27, 91.3) 4-11 -8.62 10.75 0.74 1.33 -5.23
3 A Charlotte (29-27, 92.3) 0-11 -7.60 11.77 0.74 1.33 -4.55
3 H Virginia Tech (48-12, 97.0) 3- 7 -2.87 16.50 -0.74 1.33 -2.40
3 A Virginia Tech (48-12, 97.0) 3-11 -2.87 16.50 0.74 1.33 -1.41
3 A Michigan State (18-33, 90.6) 8- 9 -9.31 10.06 0.74 1.33 -5.69
3 A Kansas (34-24, 95.2) 1- 8 -4.71 14.66 0.74 1.33 -2.63
3 A Kansas (34-24, 95.2) 1- 4 -4.71 14.66 0.74 1.33 -2.63
3 A Florida Atlant (33-21, 94.7) 1- 9 -5.24 14.13 0.74 1.33 -2.98
3 H Florida A&M ( 3- 8, 87.6) 0- 7 -12.31 7.06 -0.74 1.33 -8.66
3 A Virginia (40-18, 94.5) 2-10 -5.41 13.96 0.74 1.33 -3.10
3 A Michigan (35-22, 94.8) 2- 9 -5.14 14.23 0.74 1.33 -2.92
3 A Michigan (35-22, 94.8) 2- 9 -5.14 14.23 0.74 1.33 -2.92
3 A Delaware (33-20, 91.4) 2- 5 -8.45 10.92 0.74 1.33 -5.11
3 H Delaware (33-20, 91.4) 2- 5 -8.45 10.92 -0.74 1.33 -6.10
------
-69.28
|
winning pts = 0.0000 losing points = -69.2808
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------